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Weekly stock market analysis – Economic Updates, FOMC Meeting Minutes, Fed Pivot Analysis, Apple’s Trouble in China and more.
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โฌ๏ธTimestamps:
0:00 โ Economic Updates
1:52 โ Sponsor Ad (moomoo)
2:38 โ FOMC Meeting Minutes
3:21 โ Fed Pivot Analysis
5:25 โ Apple iPhone Production in China
7:10 โ Upcoming Important Dates
Federal Reserve officials agreed that smaller interest rate increases should happen soon as they evaluate the impact policy is having on the economy. Reflecting statements that multiple officials have made over the past several weeks, the meeting summary pointed to smaller rate hikes coming. Markets widely expect the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee to step down to a 0.50 percentage point increase in December, following four straight 0.75 percentage point hikes.
Protests over Covid-19 measures and employee benefits that descended into violent clashes between hundreds of workers and security forces at the worldโs largest iPhone factory in Zhengzhou are expected to further derail manufacturing and global shipment schedules of Appleโs flagship product.
Morgan Stanley said that Apple’s premium Pro models shipment will fall short of earlier estimates by 6 million units. The shortfall from the previous 85 million handsets estimate is entirely down to the iPhone 14 Pro and 14 Pro Max, assembled at the Zhengzhou facility in central China, hit by a surprise weeklong lockdown after a Covid outbreak. Apple acknowledged delays in deliveries and a likely lower shipment of devices due to the disruption.
The spread between the yields on the 10-year and 2-year Treasury notes has been inverted for more than a month, and is now standing at -0.77%. An inverted yield curve has historically been a reliable indicator of a coming recession, coming most recently before downturns in 1990, 2001, and 2008. While brief inversions typically don’t predict a downturn, ones that last beyond a momentary flashing can have stronger predictive power.
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Disclaimer: The content on this channel is for educational purposes only and merely cites my own personal opinions. In order to make the best financial decision that suits your own needs, you must conduct your own research and seek the advice of a licensed financial advisor if necessary.
