Weekly Market Analysis – US CPI and Inflation Reduction Act of 2022

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Weekly stock market analysis – Economic Updates, US CPI Inflation (July) announcement and Inflation Reduction Act of 2022.

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⬇️Timestamps:
0:00 → Economic Updates
2:15 → US CPI Inflation Report (July) breakdown
4:24 → Inflation Reduction Act breakdown
7:53 → Upcoming Important Date

US inflation decelerated in July by more than expected, reflecting lower energy prices, which may take some pressure off the Federal Reserve to continue aggressively hiking interest rates. The consumer price index increased 8.5% from a year earlier, cooling from the 9.1% June advance that was the largest in four decades. Prices were unchanged from the prior month. A decline in gasoline offset increases in food and shelter costs. The core CPI, which strips out the more volatile food and energy components, rose 0.3% from June and 5.9% from a year ago. The core and overall measures came in below forecast.

Fed officials have said they want to see months of evidence that prices are cooling, especially in the core gauge. They’ll have another round of monthly CPI and jobs reports before their next policy meeting on Sept. 20-21.

The spread between the yields on the 10-year and 2-year Treasury notes has been inverted for more than a month, and is now standing at -0.408%. An inverted yield curve has historically been a reliable indicator of a coming recession, coming most recently before downturns in 1990, 2001, and 2008. While brief inversions typically don’t predict a downturn, ones that last beyond a momentary flashing can have stronger predictive power.

The Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 will make a historic down payment on deficit reduction to fight inflation, invest in domestic energy production and manufacturing, and reduce carbon emissions by roughly 40 percent by 2030. The bill will also finally allow Medicare to negotiate for prescription drug prices and extend the expanded Affordable Care Act program for three years, through 2025.

The Inflation Reduction Act: 1. Expands Medicare benefits 2. Lowers energy bills 3. Makes historic climate investment 4. Lowers health care costs 5. Creates manufacturing jobs 6. Invests in disadvantaged communities 7. Closes tax loopholes used by wealthy 8. Protects families and small business making $400,000 or less

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